Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank CEO Says Recovery Coming But When Is the Question

Even though the Sioux Falls Economic Summit took place in South Dakota, there's some interesting information about the American and Midwest economies that Kansans might find interesting. Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank CEO Dr. Gary Stern says he foresees an upturn, but predicting when is always the dicey question for economists like him.


Photo: Dr. Gary Stern, head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, was the main speaker.

Some excerpts from his speech:

How we got into this mess

"The bottom line of our analysis is that creditors of large, complex financial institutions expected protection if failure threatened. As a consequence, they had litle incentive to be concerned about the condition and prospects of such institutions, leading to underpricing of risk-takeing. With risk underpriced, large institutions took on excessive amounts of it, leading eventually to the precarious position of some of them. And policy makers, fearing massive, neagative spillover effects to other instituions, financial markets moregenerally, and the economy itsefl, validated creditor expectations by providing protection."

"This emphasis on incentives is not accidental. To the contrary, I am convinced that just as incentives were at the heart of the TBTF (to big to fail) problem, they necessarily must be at the heart of the solution."


Photo Above: Best Buy CEO and Chairman Brad Anderson.

Photo Below: Anderson interviewed by KSFY-TV's Jeff Cleland in the Green Room at the Washington Pavilion.

I had a fun encounter with Anderson. After his interview with Jeff, above, I told him that if I could, I'd live in one of his Best Buy stores. I said I could sleep on the couch in the home audio department, use a microwave in appliances to make something to eat, and use the store bathroom. He laughed heartily.

An excerpt of his interview with KSFY-TV:

"We have a culture (in the Midwest) that works and can be leveraged to solve problems."



Photo: U.S. Senator John Thune (R-S.D.) with two unidentified VIPs in the Green Room.

As I was in a room full of muckety-mucks, I didn't think that was the proper time to give John heck for his opposition to the union card organizing bill in Congress. Instead, we had a warm chat about our families, basketball, soccer, and his recent beef-cake video on YouTube.



Photo: Sen. John Thune, Brad Anderson, Dr. Gary Stern during the panel discussion.

Excerpts:

Stern: "The preponderence of the anecdotes is that the economy (in this region) is performing like the national economy. At first things were holding up better than the national economny but it has fallen into line."

Thune: "South Dakota will derive a lot of benefit from the stimulus package."

"We might see a short recovery then a drop down again. It will take a while for job creation to catch up. It will take a while for small businesses to start hiring again."

Anderson: "Economists are saying there's one more notch to fall because of credit. We're acting like we've hit the bottom."

Reblog this post [with Zemanta]


Posted on Friday, April 10, 2009 by Registered CommenterTodd D. Epp in , | CommentsPost a Comment | EmailEmail | PrintPrint

Psychological Research: The Line Between Sinners and Saints Ain't So Great

Carnegie, circa 1878Image via Wikipedia

Found this summary of a recent psychological study pretty darn interesting.

Good people give less than bad people because good people don’t need to compensate as much for their badness as bad people.

Ok, I over simplify the results—a bit.

But think of this in terms of big givers like T. Denny Sanford and Andrew Carnegie and it’s just something that makes you want to go “hmmm.”

Sinning Saints and Saintly Sinners:
The Paradox of Moral Self-Regulation

Sonya Sachdeva, Rumen Iliev, and Douglas L. Medin

People who act altruistically might really be compensating for feelings of immorality, while people who act less benevolently may also have a hidden agenda, according to a study on morality and behavior. Participants primed with positive feelings of morality donated less money to charity and were less cooperative in a hypothetical decision-making task, compared to volunteers primed to feel negative and immoral. A subsequent experiment showed that moral and immoral behavior was specifically related to changes in how individuals perceived themselves, or moral self-worth. The findings indicate that deviating from our usual level of morality—in either direction—results in compensatory behaviors through which we attempt to return to our baseline moral state.

 

Posted on Thursday, April 9, 2009 by Registered CommenterTodd D. Epp | CommentsPost a Comment | EmailEmail | PrintPrint

Vermont Starts the March Towards Marriage Equality

Posted on Wednesday, April 8, 2009 by Registered CommenterTodd D. Epp in | CommentsPost a Comment | EmailEmail | PrintPrint

WIBW-TV: What Gets Students Up in Arms at Washburn University? Bad Cafeteria Food



Posted on Saturday, April 4, 2009 by Registered CommenterTodd D. Epp in , | CommentsPost a Comment | EmailEmail | PrintPrint